⚡ TSLA - Tesla Inc.

Consumer Cyclical | Excellent Financial Health

Current Price
$380.12
Last Updated: Sep 23, 2026, 04:26 PM EST

📈 Price Chart & Technical Levels Bullish Bearish Entry Stop Target

🟢
BUY
Overall Score: 59.8/100
2/4 paths bullish, 1/4 bearish, 1/4 neutral.
Insider selling detected | Strong BUY confluence zone (strength:10) at $379.47
⚠️ System Alerts:
🚨 Insider selling detected
🚨 Strong BUY confluence zone (strength:10) at $379.47

📊 Technical

Weight: 35%
81/100
🟢🟢 STRONG_BUY

🧠 Fundamental

Weight: 35%
45/100
WEAK_SELL

📰 News

Weight: 20%
50/100
HOLD

📈 Sentiment

Weight: 10%
57/100
WEAK_BUY

Signal & Plan

🟢 BUY

Action: BUY

Entry Zone: $378.22 - $382.02
Stop Loss: $367.96
Targets: $398.36 | $404.44 | $416.6
Risk/Reward: 1:1.5

Key Signals Triggered

  • ▸ ⚠️ ADX: 22.4 (Weak trend)
  • ▸ Stochastic: OVERBOUGHT
  • ▸ OBV: BULLISH
  • ▸ Confluence BUY_ZONE (strength:10) at $379.47

Signal & Plan

🟡 WEAK_BUY

Entry Target Zone:

$335.0 - $341.7

Target Discount: 11.9% below current price

Fundamental Drivers

  • ▸ Financial Health: Excellent
  • ▸ ROIC: 4.54%
  • ▸ DCF Fair Value: $106.21
  • ▸ Altman Z-Score: 17.11
  • ▸ Institutional: Meaningful institutional ownership; monitor future filing changes for accumulation or distribution.
  • ▸ Quant Score: 45/100. HOLD - Driven by massive valuation premium but strong balance sheet.
📊

Technical Analysis

🟢🟢 STRONG_BUY

Confidence: MEDIUM

RSI
60.59
MACD
BULLISH_ACCELERATING
ADX
22.43
Stochastic
81.4

Key Insights

  • ⛔ Stochastic Overbought (81.4)
  • ✅ OBV confirms uptrend
  • 📊 At Fibonacci 38.2% (0.07% away)
  • MACD bullish_accelerating
  • ✅ Composite: STRONG_BUY
Support
$335
Current
$380.12
Resistance
$475
Entry Zone (Optimal: $380.12)
$378.22 - $382.02
Stop Loss
$367.96
🧠

Quantitative Model (Fundamentals)

HOLD
Quant Score: 45/100

Quant Score: 45/100. HOLD - Driven by massive valuation premium but strong balance sheet.

Smart Quant Metrics

DCF Fair Value
$106.21
Altman Z-Score
17.11
ROIC
4.54%
Revenue CAGR
5.19%

AI NLP Insights

💎 Valuation

Even with an aggressive 30% growth assumption, the stock trades at a massive 258% premium to its DCF Fair Value of $106.21. ⚠️ Note: The current $380.12 price requires flawless future execution to justify.

🚀 Growth

Over the last 3 years, Revenue grew at a CAGR of 5.19%, while Net Income changed by -32.94% annually. 📊 Warning: Top-line growth is not translating to bottom-line profits (Margin compression).

💰 Profitability

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) stands at 4.54%. ⚠️ Note: The company is currently struggling to generate high returns on its capital base.

🛡️ Risk & Solvency

The balance sheet indicates a Safe (Strong) 🟢 with an Altman Z-Score of 17.11. Debt levels and liquidity are well-managed.

Risk Factors

  • ⚠️ Stochastic in overbought zone (OVERBOUGHT)
  • ⚠️ Last swing is Lower High — uptrend momentum weakening
  • No target with RR >= 1.5 (best available: 1:0.78)
  • High volatility: ATR=13.0 (3.42% of price)
  • Low RR at TP1: 1:0.78 (min required: 1:1.5)
  • Last swing is Lower High — uptrend momentum weakening
📰

News Analysis

🟡
Overall Sentiment
Neutral
Score
5/10
Total Articles
4

Executive Summary: Analyzed 4 relevant financial articles from the past 48 hours. Overall sentiment is Neutral (5/10). News importance is Medium with highly relevant coverage. ➡️ Minimal impact (±0.5% to 1%).

Top Headlines

TSLA Stock Rises Overnight On Germany Ramp Ahead Of Q2: Analyst Sees 10% Delivery Jump This Year, Improving Margins - Stocktwits
🟡
📅 10h ago 📰 google_news 💭 Neutral
TSLA Stock Rises Overnight On Germany Ramp Ahead Of Q2: Analyst Sees 10% Delivery Jump This Year, Improving Margins Stocktwits
TSLA Stock Eyes Weekly Loss: Retail Investors Grill Musk On Missed Robotaxi Targets Ahead Of Q2 Earnings - Stocktwits
🟡
📅 9h ago 📰 google_news 💭 Neutral
TSLA Stock Eyes Weekly Loss: Retail Investors Grill Musk On Missed Robotaxi Targets Ahead Of Q2 Earnings Stocktwits
TSLA Stock Rises Overnight: Analyst Sees Q2 Delivery Beat, Says SPCX Merger Buzz Is Limiting Downside Risk - Stocktwits
🟡
📅 Yesterday 📰 google_news 💭 Neutral
TSLA Stock Rises Overnight: Analyst Sees Q2 Delivery Beat, Says SPCX Merger Buzz Is Limiting Downside Risk Stocktwits
📈

Market Sentiment

Institutional Ownership

43.66%

Meaningful institutional ownership; monitor future filing changes for accumulation or distribution.

Short Interest

2.10%

Low bearish positioning. Shorted shares increased 8.4% versus the prior month. Days to cover is 2.14.

Insider Activity

-$21.66M

Reported insider selling: 33 sale(s) and no open-market purchases over 180 days.

⚠️ INVESTMENT DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. NOT financial advice. We are not licensed financial advisors. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Stock investing involves risk of loss.

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